We recently raised SMM order book assumptions by 17-80% as we expect contract awards to pick up in the coming months and we think the positive momentum could be sustained if global macro data continues to surprise positively. This could be a powerful share price driver for SMM, and in turn, SCI. Contracts: SMM has just announced a S$230m contract for an offshore gas platform and we believe a semisub completion job worth about US$250m is imminent.
Implied valuation of 6.2x 2010E EV/EBITDA on the core utilities business looks attractive, given the division’s relatively stable earnings outlook. An SMM share price rally is meaningful to SCI as SMM accounts for 46% of SCI’s valuation. Valuation: Sum of parts based price target raised to S$4.04 from S$3.25 The increase is due to higher market values of Sembcorp Marine and Gallant Venture. SCI’s utilities business is valued on DCF.
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